Month: January 2015

Sunday’s Tip’s

Chelmsford Tip’s

13.50  Golden highway . His win was by no means a blow you away performance but he got the job done well sticking to the task and with that run under his belt could go in again know he knows the track . 9/2

14.20  Warden bond   . Hard race this so im sticking with the all weather man kirby to bring it home . He is a good genuine horse and can battle it out and win . 7/1

14.50  Dynamo walt . Tipped this horse LTO and there is no reason why he carnt go in again . A 7lb rise is fair , But its his all weather form at this distance i like so im backing him again . 7/2

15.20  Kodafine . A good 2nd last time to ( waterloo dock ) and while he carries a further 2lb rise could go well in an open race . 7/2 . It could also be worth noting EL DUQUE as an E/W shot at a good price 20/1

15.50  Celestial bay . Another i backed LTO and im sticking again hopefully luke morris can get the job done , one thing for sure is ya gonna get a ride for ya money with morris on . 5/1 Also favoured by  ( and the lad knows his stuff ) 

16.20  Hot right now . Should strip fitter for her 5th after a long lay off and if she can improve again here she could well win at very nice odds . 8/1

Musselburgh Tip’s

14.00  Full day . Although hargam will be a heavly backed fav and should by all rights win . I wouldnt be at all surprised at all if Full day gets the second place at tasty odds and hey theres always the chance hargam could run flat or fall and then ( wey hey ) . E/W 16/1

15.00  Sea lord . Has won of higher marks in the past ( namely when landing a 6 timer between may and oct last year ) . Has struggled in graded races and a drop in class and mc’coy aboard could see him return to winning ways . 8/1

A couple of others to note are

15.00 mus – Streets of newyork . This could be a cracking E/W bet 10/1

15.30 mus – Racing Europe 5/1

 

 

Saturday Graveyard Tip’s

Lingfield Tip’s

14.20  Lujeanie . Been running well of late and is a previous 3 time course winner . got close to Gabrial’s wawa last time and was gaing all the time and i fancy my selection to get infront today on the same mark . 8/1  lost

14.55  Spiritual star . Not sure if he ran flat last time out or what but he’s turned out quickly and hopfully Carson can get a better tune out of him today . 7/1  ( ALSO TIPPED BY MY MATE @craigyboy_1991 BEFORE ME . I JUST AGREE WITH HIM )  WINNER

15.30  Nobel gift . In and out form but i like the jockey booking and this could be the answere to him following up in a bid for a double . 3/1  3RD BUT OUT OF THE MONEY

14.05  Major muscari . Bertie blue boy will be most peoples pick but the better value could be with the Major . His all weather form is rather good and his form at 7f aint that bad either . The biggest plus for me is the jockey he’s probably the best in this line up and if he gets a clear run at line in hoping he will smash them with ease . 5/1  WINNER

Couple of others to note tomorrow

Sandown Tip’s

13.50  Ulck du lin . 13/2  LOST

14.25  Splash of ginge . 4/1  LOST

15.00  Imperial leader 7/1  ( Handsupfordetroit ) could be worth an e/w punt 14/1 3RD 14/1

15.35  Hadrian’s approach . Needed the run lto and at forcast big odds could be a fucking steel . Im expecting a big run and hopfully a good winner here . 8/1 crazy price  LOST

Ffos Las Tip’s

13.30  Fox bridge . 6/1  WINNER

14.05  A dol in milan . His only defeat over hurdles was in a listed contest against some good horse’s . So this should be a breaze . 10/1  NAP OF THE DAY

Friday’s Tip’s

Firstly two trackers today . 13.00 Lingfield . New leyf (came like a fucking train at the end of his last race and if 10/1 or bigger get on each way .

Then 15.30 Chepstow . Worldor ( might not have finished improving yet stepped up in distance . Again back it each way at good odds . 20/1

 

Lingfield Tip’s

13.00  Seek the fair land . Ran a good 2nd lto to (pretty bubbles) Who won yesterday (my tip) so the 2nd place is franked . Also the horse has a good record here and is a 5 time winner . So with carson booked again im hoping for better this time .  NR

14.35  Encapsulated . Not one for fav’s realy but the horse is in good form and has won off higher marks in the past , so could win what is a trappy race . 11/4  2ND 11/2

15.45  Toofeeg . Im taking a chance that the drop to a class six (0-65) might bring about some improvement . M harley knows his way round here and at a price has a good each way chance . 10/1 E/W  2ND 10/1

16.15  Bennelong . Backed this lto and i dont know what went wrong im hoping it was just a bad day . Not the easiest horse to back but it could be another good each way value bet . 12/1 E/W  LOST

Wolverhampton Tip’s 

17.15  Dialogue . Open race here and a chance is taken on the fact he’s  5 time course winner and has a good record here in general . Looked like jockey went for home far too early last time and if holding the trigger a little longer ( R TATE ) could get his head in-front at nice odd’s .  LOST

18.45  Sonnetation . Providing he takes to the surface ( has run well on the all weather ) he could be a quality bet each way in a wide open race . Cosgrave is a good jockey in his own rights and with the horse having won at this distance before a few times should prove a nice little punt . 10/1 E/W  2ND 14/1

19.15  Arctic Lynx . LTO came out of the stalls like a 15 inch dildo ( wobbling all over the place ) and ended up out the back , then got boxed in and had to switch to get a better line , by the time Hayley turner got a clear run she was in 3rd but gave up as she new it was too late ( watch the replay ) . If getting out the stalls better this time he might smash them . 7/1  NAP  2ND 11/2

Thursday’s Tip’s

Southwell Tip’s

14.00  Very first blade . may only have won twice at the track but other than that has a good record here . Not a bad jocky booking and could go close here after a good 2nd lto . 5/1  2nd 

15.00  Royal marskell . 1 mile 4 at southwell seems to be what the horse likes best . And although 7 lengths of luv u what ever last time is entitled to get closer today off the same mark of 80 while the latter carries a penelty . 6/1 E/w  3rd but out the money

15.30  Lean on pete . Im will to take a chance on the fact that this is the lowest mark the horse has raced off for a long time and it helps that this aint the greatest race about ( crap realy ) . Didnt see out a mile 4 lto and return to shorter in his favour . 8/1 E/w  lost

16.30  Munaawib . Im backing this just for the course form realy . And in what is another poor race could be the answere after running a good 2nd lto and if he is comming into form could be worth keeping an eye on next time out too . 11/2  lost

Wolverhampton Tip’s

18.40  Lutine charlie . I have to stick with the horse after backing him last time . Drops to his lowest mark yet and his 4th place last time out after 125 days off isnt bad all told . So with that run under his belt and having won of higher marks in the past he could well win with ease . 5/1  lost 

19.40  Dissent . Ran up against an improving zac brown last time and even if mr beasley did go for home a bit too early he still wouldnt have won . with that said he did finish strongly fending of the rest and could prove a tough nut to crack if getting to the front again . 11/2  shite

Wednesday’s Tip’s

I don’t put many maxbets up guys and when i do i am never to far away this just leaps off the page with one factor straight away the fact is that Dow has called up Luke Morris to take the ride. I actually napped this horse last time out when Hayley Turner was on board and quite frankly the effort she put into it i have more effort in my little finger. We saw this gelding by Successful Appeal doing all he’s best work late on under hand riding and it just looked like they all knew what was going to win the race. Anyway enough ranting. Dow has now decided to step this horse back up in trip to a mile and as i said earlier and take not ‘all he’s best work late on’. He has won twice over a mile with one of he’s best victories coming against George Guru off a mark of 83 even though he has won more times over 7 furlongs he’s biggest win came
over a mile off 83 so we can say he is in fact a better horse over a mile and judging by last time we can see why. This horse was not stopping at the end. Luke Morris has a few rides at Kempton later on in the evening but is at Chelmsford just to ride Forceful Appeal and when a jockey of Morris’s calibre goes somewhere for one ride you have to sit up and take note. Even though i am ranting about the ride he got last time out he did get
beat by 2 very progressive horses in Evening Attire and Mr Bossy Boots and they both easily could be 95+ rated horses this year. The Dow stable is also in decent form with he’s last 6 runners 4 have placed in the top 3 and one has won which we had at Chelmsford in Keep Kicking. As i have said he got beat by 2 progressive horses last time out there are no progressive in this race today people will say Westminster is but is way to high in the weights today and if this stood a chance don’t you think Morris would be riding this one for Appleby instead of Rawlinson. There’s only one thing in my head and the guy has been booked for a reason Turner last time under hand riding or Luke Morris getting into the horse giving him the best chance of winning and this is why he is Maxbet material today and the fact he only has one ride at Chelmsford before he goes to kempton makes me even more confident this horse wins today.

My own tip’s

Chelmsford tip’s

14.40  For ayman . Ran a good 3rd lto and races of same mark again today and could be the answer in a poor race . 3/1  Nose 2nd flying at end too

16.10  Kindlelight storm . Potentialy well treated on old form and has won of higher marks in the past . Drops to a mark of 63 and at a price is worth a punt . 11/1 E/W  Lost

Kempton tip’s

17.15  Shalambar . Has won off higher marks in the past and is a previous course winner (4) times . remains on a workable mark and hopefully can get his head in front today with a useful 5lb claim . 9/2  1st

18.15  Pretty bubbles . Most notable for me here is the jocky booking . The form when ( Tylicki ) is on reads 1/1/3/3/5/1/3/1/4/6 Not bad eh . Got going lto way too early and a better ride will see her get a better run and hopefully smash them . 9/2  1st

Tuesday’s Tip’s

Taunton Tip’s

14.30  Polo . Tricky race but it could be worth siding with this German import who is gradually getting his act together . Flat form was quite good and has contested listed races so has been thought highly of at times .  lost

15.00  Big casino . Seemed to run flat lto but still got in the money in 3rd  (10 l) behind final assault who in turn ran 2nd next time in a class 3 . Doesn’t mind the forecast soft to heavy ground and should go well of 1lb lower . 5/1  lost

15.30  Leviathan . Landed a class 2 at ascot with a fair bit in hand but not sure whats gone wrong since . Races of 1lb lower here and wouldnt be all that far away if bouncing back . 10/1 E/W  NK 4TH One for next time out 

16.30  Spending time . Will have needed the run when 3rd to carraci apache (who has gone on to finish a head 2nd in a grade 2 class 1 . this lightly race sort should do better in handicaps and could run a big race at nice odd’s . 14/1 E/W lost

Southwell Tip’s

14.40  Tartan trip . Down to a class 6 and is a previous C/D Winner jocky booking a plus and visor re-fitted . 4/1 crap

Monday’s Tip’s

Wolverhamton Tip’s

14.40  Steel city boy . Ran a cracker lto and to be honest im glad alice mills is aboard rather than stokell . 9/1 E/W  lost

15.40  George fenton . Goes against what i said above but could be worth a crack now back on a workable mark . 20/1  cheating cow watch the race

17.10  Celestial bay . Trip too long last time and return to shorter should see a win . 9/2  2nd out of the money due to n/r’s

Saturday grave yard Tip’s

Lingfield Tip’s

13.25  Saskia’s dream . Ran a cracker lto at chelmsford . Has a good draw here and should go close carrying bottom weight . 11/1 E/W  Nap

14.35  Silverheels . Jockey is in form of his life and can get a deserved win her . Good 3rd lto even after been poorly positioned . 4/1

15.10  Gaelic silver . Chelmsford race should have been his after been hampered ( any other day it would have been over turned ) anyways backed it lto and will get there today . 9/2

Cheltenham Tip’s 

12.40  Bivouac . N henderson is in great form but im going to take a chance with his second string here . French import that has done nothing but improve and may well do so here . 9/1 E/W

13.15  Ned stark . Not much needed to say really ran well for a long time behind the epic ptit zig and should noth a win here . 6/1

13.50  The giant bolster . Seems to save his best for this track and it wouldnt be a suprise at all if he won again at his favourite track . 7/1

14.25  Little jon . Ran a cracker in the Racing Post Arkle Trophy Trial Novices’ Chase and had to unluck runs since . Back in a handicap and should resume winning ways . 6/1 E/W

15.00  Some buckle . Ran a blinder lto and i very much doubt that this horse is done improving . The price is way too big and should be taken advantage of . 14/1

16.10  Kiama bay . B Geraghty has opted against henderson’s horse here and that tells it all realy , not only that but hin and J Best have a great record when teaming up together . 9/2

Friday’s Tip’s + Legend @craigyboy_1991

  • 3.40 – Lingfield – One Moment – 14/1 (Nap) Bet365Firstly i want to point out that this horse is a ten race maiden so definitely not one for the faint hearted here. Right now onto the positives
    if we go back through this horses form and look at her maiden form she ran Cursory Glance, Mubtaghaa, and Beacon all close since then Cursory Glance has won a group 1 and a group 3 race and also ran Tiggy Wiggy close in the Lowther (Group 2). Mubtaghaa has also ran in some cracking races including behind Ivawood beaten just 7 lengths in the Portland (Group 2), and beat just 5 lengths in the Somerville
    stakes (Group 3). Beacon has also won a class 1 listed and a group 2 so that 2 year old form is solid as a rock and quite frankly cannot get much
    better than that. With her having form behind Cursory Glance as a 2 year old she should not be over looked here just because Sir Mark Prescott
    has an odds on shot in the race gambling is about taking risks and not backing odds on shots as this is not what i am about. Anyhow if she recaptures any of her 2 year old form she would absolutely hose up here i also find it hard to believe a horse that has ran the top sprinters in the world close can’t win a race off it’s current mark of 59!!. The last race she ran in class 5 0-75 she was last of three but again you cannot overlook that race as they where rated pounds above her and she only got beat 2 lengths by 2 horses rated 8 and 9 pounds higher than herself. She also takes a drop in class here into a class 6 and should be able to put up a fight and is drawn well in one which enables here to save ground all the way round and lets just hope instructions are to make all and see them off from the front. Not the best race i have ever seen and this filly by Notnowcato is taken to get her
    first win at the 11th time of asking. @craigyboy_1991
LINGFIELD Tip's

14.00 Diminutive . Again gonna keep the faith as an E/W shot . Im forgiving the last run as the jockey got into a realy bad position and the race got worse there on . W carson onboard tomorrow and his 3rd before reads well and could surprise at large odds . 25/1 E/W  N/R

14.35  Swendab . Great run lto and doubt the rise will stop him following up . 5/1  LOST

15.10  Fashion line . Going to give a chance on the fact haley turner gets the leg up here and got some good momentum out the horse lto and if able to build on that can get close again . 8/1 E/W  LOST

15.40  Ya halla . At last the horse gets a good jockey aboard  and thats good enough for me after a few good efforts . 13/2 E/W  LOST

Wolverhampton Tip’s

16.15  Stanlow . Ran a cracker LTO and can go in this time providing there’s a stronger gallop . 3/1  LOST 

18.15  Foie Gras . Races of same mark today and has a good record round here . Mr beasley keeps the ride and should win in all honesty . 9/2  Winner