Winnersday

With the weather playing havoc recently with one thing or another causing the cancelling of meetings, and the changes to going mid meeting for most of remaining fixtures made the job of finding something decent a touch more harder, so both myself and Rich decided to wait until things settled down before putting anything out, I have a few I like for tomorrow but Rich won’t have anything until he’s 100% happy but should be back hopefully for the weekend. That’s enough about that let’s crack on with my 3 selections and one for the notebook.

Charlie’s Selections

Has won twice and placed 2nd twice from last 5 runs, both wins came at Wolverhampton over this trip. Spencer takes over the reigns today and another bold display looks likely even though it’s now 3lb higher.

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Win Advised

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Is a debutant that caught my eye, due to breeding, out of Excelebration and Lulawin. Is also closely related to Excellent Art and looks the one they have to beat in this small field race.

Win Advised

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Won on Chase debut at Sedgefield back in November last year, latest 2nd at Leicester was after a short break,even though it’s now 4lb higher it can get involved here normal cheekpieces removed and replaced by Blinkers for today’s race. The change of headgear could be the answer in another small field race that doesn’t look too deep in quality.

Win Advised

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Well that’s my 3 selections out of the way, it’s now time to give you the one for your Notebook.

Notebook 

Market Rasen 5.10

Dorking Boy -Makes debut for trainer Tom Lacey. Out of Schiaparelli and Megasue,closely related to Ballyandy and Megastar, Richard Johnson takes the ride and could be one to keep an eye on.

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Well that’s my lot for today, please remember to keep stakes small so it doesn’t hurt your pocket and hopefully end the day with a winner of two.

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Good Luck Charlie and Rich

Wednesday’s Round Up

There will be no blog post for Thursday as nothing really caught our attention, but we do have Wednesday’s Results to go through so I guess we best start there.

Rich’s Nap Result- Grandfather Tom – Was unplaced didn’t seem to take to the surface a copy of the after race vets report is included below.

The Final Word had 3 horses mentioned and all of them finished 2nd. These were Silchester, Dinaria Des Obeaux and Warbuton.

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Charlie’s Results –

Hills Of Dubai -Finished 2nd and was a loss.

Whiskey Chaser -Finished 3rd and was a loss.

Brynmawr -Was 2nd and therefore another  loss.

Another day would easily have seen at least 3 winners but I guess today wasn’t ours for the taking. We move forward and can take some positivity from our performance even though we didn’t win, we were only narrowly beaten in several races it’s just a matter of time before we rack up a streak of winners especially with Flat Season kicking off this weekend. We would also like to thank everyone for the support this past Month, our stats are starting to climb back to where they should be and that’s down to not only our hard work but to the viewers who keep coming back for more. We hope to continue to bring you the standard of work we have been publishing and wish you well with your evening.

Thanks again Charlie and Rich

Cheltenham is finally here

So after months of breaking news stories and guessing who runs where, the Cheltenham Festival has finally arrived. The ground this year is definitely going to cause it’s upsets, with soft to heavy ground being reported and with more rain forecast, our only advice at this stage is to have a list of horse’s who act on almost any ground and keep a close eye on the weather as some won’t run if going becomes too testing.

Our selections for Cheltenham won’t be counted towards profit/loss figures but will be doing daily results so the winner can have bragging rights. So on that note please find our Cheltenham selections listed below.

Charlie’s Selections

1.30 – Supreme Novice Hurdle – Grade 1 Class 1 – 2m 87y

Kalashnikov -Iv been keeping an eye on Kalashnikov since he won at Wetherby back in November, he has grown in stature since then winning twice and placing 2nd in the Tolworth at Sandown, and that looks the best form in this race and another bold display looks likely.

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2.50 Ultima Handicap Chase – Grade 3 – 3m 1f

Gold Present -Was 2nd here back in March last year in the Close Brothers Novice Handicap Chase beat 1 and 1/4 length by Tully East. Was then sent to Aintree to contest The Topham Handicap in April and fell at the canal turn. Was rested until December when sent to Newbury to take part in the Sir Peter Sullivan Memorial Handicap Chase over 2m 6f 93y and beat the Paul Nichols trained Warriors Tale by a neck. Was then sent to Ascot to take part in the Silver Cup beating Frodon by 3 length. That form looks really good in the context of this race and if getting a clear round should be in the thick of it at the business end of this race.

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5.30 – Close Brothers Novices’ Chase – Class 1 Listed – 2m 4f 78y

Rather Be – Won at Towcester in December beating War Sound by 19 length over 2m 20y. Was then sent to Plumpton and unseated Jeremiah McGrath after blundering at the 3rd found to have burst a blood vessel after the race. Was then sent to Fakenham and won over 2m 59y beating Positively Dylan by 17 length. Has been a bit up and down form wise but when on song has to be respected and another bold display can’t be ruled out here.

Well that’s my thoughts on Day 1 of Cheltenham, hopefully we get a winner or two to kick things off.

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Rich’s Selections

1.30 – Supreme Novice Hurdle – Grade 1 Class 1 – 2m 87y

Kalashnikov – The Newbury Grade 3 winner last month now steps back up in to Grade 1 Company, having finished a 4 length runner up to Summerville Boy but will have learned from that run as it was only his 3rd career run over Hurdles. Getabird is a Grade 2 winner from Ireland who is unbeaten, but for me Kalashnikov got the better of the field of 24 when winning at Newbury by 4 & 1/2 lengths and some 12 lengths clear of 3rd.

2.50 – Ultima Handicap Chase – Grade 3 Class 1 – 3m 1f

Vintage Clouds – Runner up last time out in a Wetherby Grade 2 over 3m, beaten 2 & 3/4 lengths and some 7 lengths clear of 3rd. The Heavy ground will be no issue for this Clouding and with Captain Chaos, who was 4th at Wetherby winning next time out. Vintage also has a stone in hand from Gold Present and represents a decent Each way chance.

4.50 – Amateur Riders’ Novice Chase – Grade 2 Class 1 – 3m 7f 190y

Jury Duty – A Runner up on the last two runs back in Ireland, running in Grade 3 & Grade 1 Company respectively but is a Grade 2 winner, 3 runs back when beating Shattered Love over 2m 6f. Both runner up places were over 3m. Now steps up in trip, with top Amateur Jamie Codd on board, who has won two of the 8 Cheltenham races competed in and is also aided with first time tongue tie.

5.30 – Close Brothers Novices’ Chase – Class 1 Listed – 2m 4f 78y

Testify – Heavy ground no issue for Testify, having won the last two runs at Haydock, on what can only be described as bottomless when landing a Grade 2 Chase over 2m 4f by 7 lengths, albeit a 3 horse race on January 20th, but has the burden of top weight….

I am also very fond of Apples Jade.….

That’s everything folks, thanks for popping by and fingers crossed for a cracking day, with everyone coming home safely….

All the Best – Charlie & Rich 

 

Winnersday

With a better selection of cards to digest and Rich having a day or Two’s rest, it’s just me you have to put up with, let’s hope today lives up to the headline and delivers us some Winners for Wednesday, so without further adieu let’s get straight down to my selections listed below.

Badilou -Yet to get off the mark in the UK, although was a fair 3rd last time out at Chepstow in a Class 5 Handicap Chase over 2m 3f. Has raced over 2m 5f before and was 8th at Exeter so the distance shouldn’t be an issue as that was first run after falling at Ludlow in race prior to that. Is more than capable of winning off this mark and hopefully tomorrow is the day to turn that corner.

Win Advised

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Nefyn Bay -To be honest can’t see Nefyn being beat on Wednesday, won a Class 4 Handicap Chase over 2m 3f here last month, reverts to hurdles and has gone up in distance for Wednesday’s race and could fire in a quick double if taking to the extra yardage this race throws up.

Win Advised

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Pivotal Flame -Won last month here over 1m 2f in a Class 6 Handicap, has gone up another 4lb for that but has won off higher mark in the past, another bold display can’t be ruled out even with a poor draw to overcome and a chance is taken on the win.

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Well that’s my thoughts on Wednesday’s selections, good luck if following and please remember to keep stakes small so it doesn’t hurt your pocket.

All the best Charlie and Rich

 

Monday Musings

With Rich having a well deserved day of rest you will have to put up with me, but Rich should be back tomorrow evening for Tuesday’s racing. We will begin with a look back at Sunday’s results and they are listed below.

The People’s Nap – Maria’s Benefit won advised at 15-2

Prime Venture also won and was advised at 3-1 making it 2 winners from the 3 Choices available on the People’s Nap.

Charlie’s Results

Absolute Power – Finished 6th and was a loss.

Whenyerreadyfreddie -Finished 4th and was another loss.

Champagne Pat – Finished 3rd and was yet another loss.

Another disappointing day with all 3 selections losing. Hopefully get something right with Monday’s Selections listed below.

Boots And Spurs – Non Runner

Coiste Bodhar -Although hasn’t won for a while, was a 3 time winner here previously and is fairly treated on that form.

Win Advised

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Salto Chisco -Successful over hurdles twice this year. First one was over course and distance and 2nd was at Newton Abbot over 2m. Latest victory came over Fences at Huntingdon over 2m last week. Is currently enjoying his racing at the moment and looks the one to beat here.

Win Advised

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Well that’s my thoughts on Monday’s selections, Good luck if following and please remember to keep stakes small so it doesn’t hurt your pocket.

Good luck

Rich’s First Year The Journey Begins

Harzand

Seeing as Rich has been with me on the blog for about a year, I thought I’d give my view of how that first year has been.

It was around a year ago when Rich sent me a dm on Twitter saying that the site he was tipping for was calling it a day. I immediately asked him to join me in writing and tipping for Arseonlinetips. A lot has happened in that time and he has became an instrumental part of the team at Arseonlinetips.

It wasn’t all fun at the beginning we both took time to get used to each others different styles and ways of reading races. Rich brought his People’s Nap to the site, a simple concept of 3 horses put up for a public vote on Twitter with the one with most votes becoming The People’s Nap. Rich’s ways of doing things are very different from my own he tends to concentrate on the top 1/3 of the betting market for The People’s Nap, where as I tend to look for value outside that bracket. We do have different ways of thinking despite being roughly around the same age and come from totally different parts of the UK.

At first Rich would ask hey Charlie is it OK for me to add this to the blog or asking my permission for the occasional rant. I told him that the blog is as much his as it is mine and to just do whatever he feels comfortable with. So off he went with a new found passion of being able to express his views without being restricted.

We both continued to submit our work separately for 3furlongs Out, as well as putting a daily blog post on our own site. But it wasn’t until Boxing Day that we both worked together on unravelling The King George, and for only the second time we had worked on the racing preview and stats side of things together, the first being The Melbourne Cup in November.

We had landed the winner of the Melbourne cup in Almandin and was given at 11-1

This spurred us on and we have worked on several collaborations since then with similar success. We have had some big priced winners in the past Year and although Rich’s main concentration is based on finding winners for the People’s Nap, he can find big priced winners when one ticks the right boxes

Rich’s input on a daily basis is second to none his commitment and drive is inspiring and he’s an honest and decent all round guy.

We have been on a real rollercoaster ride this past year, with both of us having work and family commitments on top of our writing and studying daily racecards as well.

As a result both of us have had dips In form from time to time, although we are both still showing a profit overall for that period. We can’t win every day but nothing stops us trying, we both give up a lot of our time and effort to bring the best current articles and interviews along with our daily blog for our followers. The only disappointing thing is our site views have dropped below the norm and we are addressing that at the moment. We would encourage you to tell your friends and family to have a look and spread the word,as we do deserve more recognition and views for the amount of effort we both put in.

I look forward to the next 12 months working alongside Rich as we will be stronger as a result of everything we have been through this year. So on that note it’s time to sign off and wish you all the best, catch you all on the next installment.

Written by Charlie McGreevy

 

Saturday’s Results

Well Saturday was a bit of a mixed bag although Rich had a great day with the People’s Nap, we will get to that in a bit but first it’s my results under the microscope :

Charlie’s Results

Mont Kiara -Had looked the likely winner when taking lead 2f out but was beaten 3/4 length into 2nd and was a loss.

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Je Suis Charlie – Had looked like the winner when hitting the front 2f out but was joined at the furlong marker and was beaten 1/2 length into 2nd and was a loss.

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Magic Moments – Tracked leaders until forced wide after being hampered 1f out and finished 4th as a result and was another loss.

.Unlucky day for my 3 selections just losing when either leading or making a challenge for lead. These thing’s happen from time to time we dust ourselves down and march onward.

Charlie’s BTTS and win Results

Celtic –Did their bit by winning 2-0 although Rangers didn’t score so bet lost.

Tottenham -Won 3-2 after having a man sent off and this leg won advised at 11-5

RB Leipzig -Won 2-1 and this leg also landed advised at 5-2

.Really unlucky with my BTTS and Win Treble missing out by one goal, would have been nice to land the treble as it paid 32.6-1 for a pound stake. Hopefully get the win with next Saturday’s attempt.

Rich’s Results

The People’s Nap – Kind Act -Won advised at 11/10

The other two choices Star Rock and James Garfield also won both Advised at 4-1

Fantastic stuff from Rich landing a full house on the People’s Nap Choices on a tough Saturday, just proves that if you put in the effort profit can be made on a difficult day.

Rich’s Football Acca Results

Burnley – Finished 0-0

Man Utd – Won 1-0

Preston – Finished 0-0

Wolves – Won 2-1

Two games from 4 landed for Rich on his football Acca meaning a small loss on the Football although he did mention a couple of players who scored.

As mentioned at the start of this post today was a bit of a mixed bag in regards to results, although credit has to be given for Rich’s full house on The People’s Nap as that was top shooting.

Thanks for taking the time to read our blog and hopefully some backed a winner or two along the way.

Enjoy the rest of the weekend guys

from Charlie and Rich

Saturday’s Session

Another week done and dusted as we move into the weekend with some fantastic racing and football to get our teeth into, but before all that let’s get down to Friday’s results :

Charlie’s Results

Smugglers Creek -Was 2nd an therefore a loss.

Mohayyen – Was unplaced and was another loss.

Rinaria – Was unplaced and was yet another loss.

.Well Friday was a poor day by my standards, meaning that the week ended unprofitable, hopefully that will change with Saturday’s horses and football selections.

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Peoples Nap Result(Friday) – Second Thought – Unplaced

Yesterday’s PN Choices were simply not good enough, while we have enjoyed a few winners again this week… I must do better…. Here are today’s choices –

Peoples Nap Choices –

Newmarket – Good

2.35- Cambridge Fillies’ Handicap – Class 3 – 1m 4f

Star Rock – C/D winner when last seen in May this year, winning a class 5 maiden by 1/2 a length from God Given, who has won 3 of the 4 races contested since including a Fillies’ Class 1 Listed & a French Group 3 contest in Deauville. Makes handicap debut on return – 4/1

Newbury – Good

2.50 – Mill Reef – Group 2 Class 1 – 2YO Only – 6f

James Garfield – Won a 6f class 5 maiden at Doncaster by 6 lengths prior to stepping up to 7f in the Vintage Stakes at Goodwood to finish a 5 & 1/2 length 4th before a nose defeat last time out at York in the Acomb Stakes(Group 3 Class1) last month – 4/1

Wolverhampton(AW) – Standard

7.40 – Novice Stakes – Class 4 – 2YO Only – 1m 142y

Kind Act – 2nd last time out at Chelmsford by 1 & 1/4 lengths to Chilean, who has since won again – 11/10

Over to Charlie for his thoughts for today & I will see you for Final Word –

 

Charlie’s Selections

Before you all start complaining betref have got the time of my 3b race wrong it should be 4.55 not 4.25

Mont Kiara -Won here two starts back over 6f in a Class 3 handicap, was sent to Ascot and raced over an inadequate 5f and finished 4th. Remains on a winning mark and a return to 6f on a track it’s win on before ticks a lot of boxes for me here and another win looks likely.

Win Advised

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Je Suis Charlie -Won here last time out by 5length over course and distance. If in same mood here could gain a second win for yard who boast a 50% strike rate at the track in last 5 years.

Win Advised

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Magic Moments -Won here last time out in her first go at a sprint, has a good draw again and if using same tactics as last time could be hard to stop her front running mentality.

Win Advised

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Saturday’s Football –

Rich’s 4 Fold – Burnley, Man Utd, Preston & Wolves – All to win – 9/1

Burnley – Unbeaten in last 3 v Huddersfield

Man Utd – Unbeaten this season, scoring 12 goals in the process, Lukaku has 5, more than Southampton as a team!

Preston – Flying in Championship, with 15 points already, 2 wins & 1 draw from 3 home games this season, while Millwall are yet to win away

Wolves – Expensive squad who are unbeaten in Championship & Barnsley are yet to win away

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Charlie’s Win & BTTS –

Celtic – Have the best record in Scotland against Rangers who they face today. Celtic have beaten Rangers 5-1 on two separate occasions last year and look likely to carry that dominance into today’s game and look primed for the win although Rangers could snatch a goal. Todays play is Celtic win and BTTS at 2-1

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Tottenham -Have been freely scoring recently but have defensive issues as well they beat Dortmund 3-1 and then beat Everton 3-0, they face West Ham today and I feel Tottenham win and BTTS is the way to go here at 11-5

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RB Leipzig -Are another team who can score goals at will but leave themselves open at the back with their gung-ho approach. They have been unlucky last couple of matches drawing 1-1 and 2-2 with Monaco and Monchengladback. They face Eintracht Frankfurt who have only won twice in last 6 matches. The play here is RB Leipzig win and BTTS at 5-2

.I have played the Win and BTTS treble here and it pays 32.6-1  . I recommend a small stake on this bet, start off with a quid so it doesn’t interfere with your main bets.

While if you are looking for an Anytime Goal scorer bet then looking for teams top scorer is the best way to go: Eg – Kane(Spurs) Lukaku(Man Utd) Messi(Barca) etc

Yes this will be a separate P/L….. Thanks for asking!!!

 

Rich’s Final Word –

With the AYR meeting abandoned due to a water logged track, I think the Course & BHA need to work together to find out why this has happened, especially with the drainage systems around nowadays. I digress……

Newbury has a nice card & boast’s a couple of maiden’s with Alfarqad(1.15) making his debut, the $1.3 million War Front colt holds a Dewhurst entry next month so connections are expecting a big run, while Emaraaty(1.45) finished 4th on debut after a really poor start to close to 3 & 3/4 lengths at the line also hold a plethora of Group race entries next month for the Dubawi Colt.

Newmarket has a nice card with Dubara(5.30) looking to add another win to the collection after a neck victory last time over re opposing Pamora, raised 5 for the win & finally Wolverhampton hold an evening meeting, with Newstead Abbey aiming for 3 C/D wins after a nose defeat here prior to winning by the same margin at Chelmsford last time out

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Monday’s Mash-up

After a day off on Sunday it’s time to start a new week. I have had a good look through the cards and have 3 selections for Monday and they are listed below.

Charlie’s Selections

Iconic Sunset – Is a non runner no replacement.

Perfect Madge – was 3rd at Newmarket on the 30th June over 6f. Then was 2nd at same venue on the 5th August over 7f. Has been racing against the boys last few races but faces her own sex here on better ground and a bold run can’t be ruled out.

Win Advised

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With Approval – Has been placed 3 times from last 5 races. Two of those places came here over 7f in May and 6f in June. Has posted two poor efforts here since although excuses can be made for both of those races first missed the break and 2nd jock lost an iron. Only win came here 1yr ago and is now 10lb below that winning mark.

Win Advised

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Well that’s my thoughts on Monday’s races Good Luck if following and please remember to keep stakes small so it doesn’t hurt your pocket.

Saturday Session

With Rich having some time off to spend with his Family this weekend, he couldn’t have signed off any better way than to get the first People’s Nap winner for the month. So on that note please find Friday’s results listed below.

Friday’s Results

The People’s Nap – Prince Khurram –  won as expected advised at 7-2

I didn’t have any selections but I did have 4 from my shortlist so I will do results for them.

Emaraaty – debut run and was 4th definitely one for the tracker

Graffiti Master – another one for the tracker and again was 4th on debut

Noble Behest – Won at 15-8

Dr Robin – was last

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So now that’s out the way it’s time to get on with the job in hand and focus on Saturday’s Selections.

Charlie’s Selections for Saturday

 

Who Dares Wins – Has been racing over further without winning this year and the drop in distance could be the answer especially if attacking from the front in a race that looks easier than he has faced of late.

Win Advised

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Nathra – Has been racing against the boys in harder races of late including latest 3rd at Newbury in a group 2, and if repeating that here can get back in the winners enclosure for J Gosden.

Win Advised

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Ibn Malik – Makes debut on the all weather here and takes a drop in class and distance in the process. Was a fair 2nd two runs back in a class 3 affair at Haydock and if repeating that should be in the thick of it in this race and at that price could be the value play here.

Win Advised

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Well there you have my thoughts on Saturday’s races, good luck if following and please remember to keep stakes small so it doesn’t hurt your pocket.