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MEGA BLOG –
Doncaster’s Lincoln card & Dubai World Cup night at Meydan
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Right, lets do this…. Doncaster & Meydan covered….
First up is DONCASTER(The going is good, good to firm in places)
Charlie – 3.10 Unibet Lincoln (Class 2) Handicap over 1m
Selection – Born To Be Alive – Out of Born To Sea and Yaria, has had 16 starts winning 3 times, including the Lincoln trial at Wolverhampton last time out when beating On A Session by 1/2 a length. Although Born To Be Alive won that trial, no 7yr old has won the Lincoln in the last 10yrs. Born To Be Alive isn’t your normal type of stats runner, as was off track for almost 3 years so has less miles on the clock than other 7yr old’s and that could swing that stat on its head. Currently available at double figures and is an Eachway selection for me today.
2.00 Mile Stakes – 4yo Plus – Class 1 Listed – 1m…..
Top Rank – Dark Angel X Countess Ferrama 5yo horse.
Ended last season on September 25th at Newmarket in the 1m Group 2 Shadwell Stakes, finishing 6th of 6, 5 & 3/4 lengths behind winner Kameko.
He had won 2 of his previous 3 runs up to that start, rising from winning a class 3,1m Thirsk handicap by 4 & 1/2 lengths in July to landing the 1m Group 3 Superior Mile Stakes at Haydock on September 8th. The race in-between the 2 wins was a 1 length 3rd to Montatham in a York 1m Class 2 handicap, with Sir Busker in 2nd.
He is 5 wins & 1 place from 7 runs over 1m….
DANGER – Monthatham – Showcasing X Eastern Destiny 5yo gelding.
3 wins from 6 runs in 2020, with 2 runner up spots. Ended 2020 finishing a 15 length 19th of 27 over 1m 1f in the Cambridgeshire class 2 handicap, that was his 2nd run in 10 days having finished a 3 l3ngth runner up to Posted in the 1m Class 1 Fortune Stakes at Sandown…..
3.10 Lincoln Handicap – Class 2 – 4yo Plus – 1m….
Danyah – Invincible Spirit X Cuis Ghaire 4yo gelding.
3 wins from 7 career runs including a win over 7f at this course on seasonal return in June 2020 in a class 4 handicap by 3 lengths. Finished 3rd of 18 in a Class 3 Newbury 7f on August 16th before stepping up in trip & class. He finished 3rd of 10 over 1m at Ripon in a class 2 handicap before ending 2020 at Haydock on September 26th by landing a 10 runner 1m class 2 handicap by 1 & 1/2 lengths…
MEYDAN – Turf – good…./ Dirt – fast….
12.50 Dubai Gold Cup sponsored by Al Tayer Motors
Secret Advisor made a fair reappearance in Saudi Arabia last time out, finishing 3rd and giving weight away to his rivals in the Red Sea Handicap. He meets Spanish Mission off levels today and looks a warm order to add to his perfect record here in the desert. This is his first try at 2m, but given how’s he’s shaped over 1m 6f here in the past there are no concerns regarding stamina. He must go close with William Buick in the saddle.
4.50 Dubai Gold Cup sponsored by Emirates Airline
A fascinating renewal with no obvious world beater that we’ve seen on occasions in the past. My preference is for American raider Jesus’ Team, who has put up some creditable efforts in defeat. He was no match for Knicks Go in the Pegasus last time, but stayed on at the one-pace to finish 2nd, having charted a wide path all the way round the home turn. It was a similar story in the Breeders Cup Mile last November, where a wide stall did him no favours before running on for 2nd. He looks worth a crack at 10f and should be doing his best work late home, with the current odds making him a good each-way bet to nothing.
2:40 – Dubai Golden Shaheen – Selection: Matera Sky
This race is going to take some winning with a furious gallop likely. I am going to side with team Japan here and the unlucky Matera Sky, who deserves a big day in the sun. My selection has been agonisingly beaten narrowly in the dying strides of the last two renewals Saudi Dirt Sprints. It has to be said that his is a deeper contest than that Saudi race. Matera Sky has devastating mid race pace but I think if Keita Tosaki can just delay his challenge a little more then she might have a little more to give in the last 50 yards. The race could set up well for her and she has a nice draw in gate 4.
Capano Kicking who reapposes denied her last time out. While Yaupon is a worthy favourite. Red Le Zele could pick up the pieces at a nice price if the race falls apart.
3:30 – Dubai Turf – Selection: Al Suhail
This looks a cracking race on paper over the extended mile trip. Lord North holds a big chance on his best form and has been reportedly been working very well, but with a run under his belt and at his ideal distance, Al Suhail can strike for the boys in blue here. It looked like he was going to hold on to win the trial for this race three weeks ago but race fitness caught him out as he was collared late on by Lord Glitters. I am confident with that good runout after a 240 day break that Al Suhail will overturn the form with Lord Glitters. Al Suhail would be seen to best affect with a strongly run race to give him a tow into the straight. He’s not the most straightforward horse in the world but he has a lot of talent. My nap of the meeting. At a big price Land of Legends could sneak into a place trying a new trip today.
3:30 – Dubai Turf – Selection: Al Suhail
4:50 – Dubai World Cup – Selection: Hypothetical
Hypothetical has been one of the standout horses of the Carnival this year and I think he can run a big race here. I am counting my on selection’s course form and experience to come into play here. The American horses may be classier but Hypothetical is on an upward curve with form figures of 14212 at the this year’s Carnival. He has progressed from handicaps to being a runner up in the trial for this race behind Salue The Soldier. He is still unexposed at this trip (0-1) and at around 12/1 Hypothetical makes plenty of each way appeal. I fancy Jesus Team for the win if they go quick up front. To be honest, this doesn’t look a vintage World Cup but it is no less fascinating.
Each way advised.
4.10 Longines Dubai Sheema Classic (Group 1) over 1m 4f 11y
Walton Street- Out of Cape Cross and Brom Felinity, has had 16 races winning 6 times, including when breaking track record here last time out when beating Dubai Future by 3 and 1/2 lengths. This is tougher but Walton Street has the ability to mix it at the top level and deserves to be in this field. Currently available at around the 9-1 price and could outrun those odds. Eachway Advised.
4.50 Dubai World Cup (Group 1) over 1m 2f
Salute The Soldier – Out of Sepoy and Street Fire, has had 21 career starts winning 8 times including when landing a Group 1 here last time out when beating Hypothetical by 1 and 3/4 lengths. That made it 3 group wins for Salute The Soldier and although this is tougher on paper, Salute The Soldier could easily outrun current price of 8-1. Eachway Advised.
1.30 Al Quoz Sprint – Turf – 3yo Plus – Group 1 – 6f…
Space Blues – Dubawi X Miss Lucifer 5yo horse.
4 wins from 4 starts in 2020 including the Group 1 Prix Maurice De Gheest over 6 & 1/2f on August 9th. Was off the track for 195 days before returning in Riyadh in the 6 & 1/2f Turf Sprint on February 20th, winning by 3/4’s of a length on season return.
The ONE to beat….
4.50 Dubai World Cup – Group 1 – 4yo Plus – 1m 2f….
Magny Cours – Medaglia d’Oro X Indy Five Hundred 6yo gelding.
4 wins from 8 career starts for the French raider, which include 2 Listed wins at Chantilly & Sandown, when landing the 2020 1m 2f Gala Stakes by a neck, his last start of 2020.
Made seasonal return on the Alll Weather over 1m 1f 97yds at Chantilly winning the Darshaan Stakes. He is 3 from 3, i understand the all weather is not dirt & is untried on the surface. This maybe an issue but he has a very nice DIRT pedigree, with his Dam Sire is A. P. Indy…. Chance
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