Hello & welcome to Arseonlineracing’s coverage of Arc day from Paris Longchamp.
This website is 100% independent & has NO affiliate links. Curated by 2 racing enthusiasts from either end of the British Isles, Charlie hails from Glasgow while Rich is from the Isle of Wight…. Miles apart but united by the sport of kings…
A big day ahead in Paris, where we could see Enable make history by winning her 3rd L’Arc De Triomphe or will it be front running Derby winner Serpentine or even multiple Group 1 winning stayer Stradivarius? We will see soon enough!
Today we welcome back Jamie & Chris, who join Charlie & Rich to give you our thoughts on the card from Longchamp & we are really excited to see how the day unfolds.
Charlie will as always lead the way, Jamie & Chris in the midfield with Rich having the Final Word, so buckle up for what will be a fantastic afternoon’s racing……
The going at Longchamp is….. Heavy
1.15 – Qatar Prix Marcel Busaq Group 1 for 2yr old Fillies over 7f 209y
Fev Rover – Out of Gutaifan and Laurelita has had 4 career starts so far, finishing 2nd on first two outings at Doncaster and Newmarket respectively before making a winning start at Sandown on the 21st July this year when beating Dubai Fountain by 1 length in the Class 1 listed Irish Stallion Farms EBF Star Stakes over 7f. Next race saw Fev Rover win again at Deauville in the Group 2 Shadwell Prix Du Calvados on the 22nd August when beating Plainchant by a neck over 7f. That form has been boosted since with 2nd placed Plainchant winning the Group 3 Prix Eclipse at Chantilly on the 18th of September. If repeating form shown on last 2 starts should go in again here.
3.50 – Prix De L’Opera Longines Group 1 for 3yr old Fillies and Mares over 1m 2f
Tawkeel – Out of Teofilo and Rafaadha, has ran 5 times and remains unbeaten so far. The wins began at Pau on the 3rd of January when beating Hur Cat by 1 and 1/4 lengths over 1m . Another all-weather jaunt at Cagnes Sur Mer this time was next on the list as Tawkeel beat Villa Royale by 4 and 1/2 lengths on the 22nd February. Was sent to Deauville for next run in the Prix De Lormoy on the 24th May to race over 1m 1f 110y and won again beating Wangari by a head, with those 2 a staggering 10 length ahead of 3rd placed La Norma. Was sent out on turf for 1st time for next start at Chantilly on the 14th June, in the Group 1 Saint Alary and won again beating Magic Attitude by 5 lengths with Solsticia a head behind in 3rd. Latest race was on the 22nd August at Deauville in Group 2 Prix de la Nonette over 1m 2f on turf, when Tawkeel extended her unbeaten run to 5 wins from 5 starts at the expense of Tickle Me Green who finished a 1/2 length 2nd with Alkandora 3/4 of a length back in 3rd place. Tawkeel just seems to find more when asked In each run so far and although this is more difficult, she does seem to have that class that gets her out of trouble and could be in the thick of it again if showing same attitude here.
4.25 – Prix de l’Abbaye de Longchamp Longines Group 1 for 2yr old’s over 5f
Glass Slippers – Out of Dream Ahead and Night Gypsy. Has had just 3 starts since winning this race last year when beating So Perfect by 3 lengths. This season began with a 5th place finish behind winner Battash at Ascot on the 16th June in the Group 1 Kings Stand Stakes over 5f. Was sent to Goodwood for next start in the Group 2 King George Qatar Stakes over 5f and finished a 2 and 1/4 length 2nd to Battash with Ornate a neck behind in 3rd. Was shipped over to Ireland for next start at the Curragh on the 13th of September, to race in the Group 1 Derrinstown Stud Flying Five Stakes over 5f and Glass Slippers won beating Keep Busy by a 1/2 length with Sonaiyla a further 1/2 length behind in 3rd. If showing same attitude as last time out could easily win again here especially when winning this race last season.
3:05 – Qatar Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe –
The world’s premier flat race and the eagerly awaited attempt of Enable’s bid for history. Very soft ground may well take it’s toll on most of the field and it will take some winning. I would love to see Enable do it, however I fear on this ground that her stablemate and superstar stayer Stradivarius will power through the Parisian mud and claim the biggest win of his career.
The triple Gold Cup victor at Royal Ascot doesn’t mind soft ground and his supporters will be very happy with all the rain that has been dropping in Paris this week. I expect to see Oliver Peslier up on the pace with Stradivarius and
make use of his stamina. He trialled well in the Prix Foy three weeks ago when they went a doddle and it turned into a 400m sprint.
Finishing a close second that day really caught my eye. He can get a nice tow into the race from Sovereign and then it will be case of whether he has the speed to see them off until the petrol tanks begin to run empty.
This race is going to something special, ladies and gentlemen. Enjoy…
3:50 – Qatar Prix de l’Opera –
Selection: Tarnawa (NAP)
This is a cracking renewal of this Group 1 for the Fillies and Mares over 10 furlongs. The top five in the market are all group 1 winners, with the Prix Diane first, second & fourth clashing with recent Prix Vermeille winner Tarnawa and Deauville scorer Audarya.
It won’t be easy to give weight away to those top-class three-year olds, but I fancy Tarnawa to do it for the Aga Khan, Dermot Weld and Cristophe Soumilion. The manner of her Vermeille victory over two furlongs more than today’s contest was very impressive and was a sign of a Mare in rude health. She travels into her races very well. The only concern would the underfoot conditions, Tarnawa is 0/2 on soft ground but I think she is a much-improved Mare this year and if the ground does dry out a bit then she would have to be in the mix.
Her assured stamina could come into play late on as her rivals at the head of market have never raced over 10 furlongs on very soft ground. It will take a career best performance to win a race of this quality but Tarnawa has been primed for an Autumn campaign.
4:25 – Qatar Prix de L’Abbeye –
Selection: Keep Busy
This doesn’t look a vintage Abbeye with a couple of big names, notably Battaash ruled out because of the soft ground. The first and second from the Flying Five at the Curragh meet again and I fancy Keep Busy to overturn the form with reigning Champion Glass Slippers. John Quinn’s charge is improving a few pounds with each run and has form on soft / heavy ground having won a listed race at Chantilly last year on heavy.
The assistance of Ryan Moore is a big plus and with no other rides on the card he will be very determined to try and snag this Group 1. The race could set up well for Keep Busy as there looks to be a bit of pace on up front. I expect Keep Busy on this ground to put up a bold show.
1.50 Prix Marcel Boussac – Fev Rover caught my eye with a gutsy win on testing ground at Deauville in the Prix du Calvados. The form of that race has been boosted since with the 2nd gaining Group 3 honours next time out. Another step forward required here but this seems to have been the plan and should run her race.
4.25 Prix de l’Abbaye – Keep Busy arrives here after a career best 2nd to Glass Slippers in the Flying Five last month. Whilst more is needed to get her head in front at the top level, a liking to soft ground and the usual allowances could be enough to turn the tables today in what will surely be extremely different conditions. She looks a fine each-way bet at the current prices.
4.55 Prix de la Foret – One Master needs little introduction having won this race on two occasions. Once again the admirable mare has been constantly running to high levels over the course of the year. Heavy ground won’t hinder her compared to some of her rivals and she nearly always produces her best at this time of year.
Final Word with Rich –
Here are my 3 for Longchamp plus a wee thought on the BIG race…
1.15 Prix Jean – Luc Lagardere – 2yo Only – Colts &Fillies’ – 7f….
Sealiway – Galiway x Kensea colt.
Rated 102. 3 wins from 5 runs, 2 wins over 6f & 1 over 7f.
3rd over C&D on July 14th, when1 & 3/4 lengths behind winner Kin’s Harlequin in a Listed contest. Won a Vichy 7f Listed Stakes on August 6th by 5 lengths before finishing a 1 length runner up over C&D in the Group 3 Prix la Rochette behind Go Athletic….
1.50 Prix Marcel Boussac (Fillies’) – 2yo Only – Group 1 – 1m….
Tiger Tanka – Clodovil x Miss Phillyjinks.
Rated 104. Winner of a 2yo Claimer on debut (6f) at Lyon on heavy ground by 1 length & changed stables. Won 3 on the bounce at Marseille, 2 over 7 & 1/2f on AW & a 1m turf race by 2 & 1/2 lengths on July 8th.
Finished a 3/4’s of a length 3rd to Ventura Tormenta on July 19th at Chantilly in the 6f Group 2 Prix Robert Papin but soon returned to winning ways on August 16th at Deauville, when landing the 7f Group 3 Prix Francois Boutin by 2 lengths.
Arc Thoughts –
I love Enable, she for me, is the greatest mare of the past 20 years in British racing & I am also a big fan of Stradivarius, so if either of these win I will be delighted, more so for Frankie & Enable. I cannot discount Ballydoyle to throw a spanner in the works either!
Sottsass placed in this last season & is an interesting contender as is Persian King, who is up in trip.
The young guns with the weight advantage catch the eye too, with Raabihah, Serpentine, Mogul & German raider In Swoop….
It will be a good race & Serpentine likely to go forward, Frankie will have learned from last season & Enable, should be good enough to win!
3.50 Prix L’opera(Fillies’ & Mares’) – Group 1 – 3yo Plus – 1m 2f….
Tawkeel – Teofilo x Rafaadah 3yo Filly.
Rated 114. 5 wins from 5 starts. 2 x 1m, 1 x9 & 1/2f & 2 wins over 1m 2f.
3 from 3 on AW & 2 from 2 on Turf. 3 AW wins over 1m in Jan, Feb & May.
Turf debut when stepping up to 1m 2f on June 14th at Chantilly in the Group 1 Prix Saint Alary (Fillies’ 3yo) winning by a head on good to soft ground beating Magic Attitude.
Landed the 1m 2f Group 2 Prix de la Nonette (3yo Fillies’) on August 22nd at Deauville on very soft ground when beating Mr Tickle by 1/2 a length….
That is everything for you today folks. Thank you for your support & for popping by today, we really appreciate it…. Stay safe.
Thanks to Jamie & Chris for their contributions today & we look forward to working with them on Champions Day & Breeders Cup weekend.
All the Best – The Arseonlineracing Team