Ascot2

Hello everybody, Welcome to arseonlinetips. A 100% Independent racing blog from either end of the United Kingdom. We maybe miles apart, but we share the same passion for racing….

Let’s see what we have for you on a busy Saturday, Rich is away and wrote Final Word on Wednesday, Chris has his Ascot Selections, Charlie has his usual slot and we also have a guest Tipster for this weekend Ray who is a friend of ours , his Twitter handle is @justRaymondo if you want to give him a follow . It’s a busy blog on a Saturday so let’s cut to the chase and get the show on the road.

Charlie – Unfortunately my 3 selections all lost yesterday bringing my winning run to an abrupt end, hopefully get back on track with Saturday’s Selections listed below.

Pickamix – (Perth 15:45)Has hinted of a return to form last few runs even though 3m doesn’t seem to be the optimum distance, drops back to 2m 7f and if repeating the run shown over that distance at Worcester last October when 2nd and that may be enough to land this race.

Win Advised

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Mrs Gallagher – (Ayr 16:10) Won at Bath and Naas both over 5f before disapointing at Haydock in a Class 1 Group 2 race over 5f last time out. Back down in Class and has to be respected given it won twice in this grade prior to that blip at Haydock.

Win Advised

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Buridan – (Newmarket 17:20)Lightly raced having had just the 3 runs so far. Won on debut at Windsor over 6f in June last year. Was then sent to Chester and finished 5th in a Class 4 Auction race over 5f. Was then sent back to Windsor over 6f in a Class 5 race and finished 2nd. Makes handicap debut here and looks reasonably treated on previous form and wouldn’t be a surprise if it wins here.

Win Advised

.Well that’s my thoughts on today’s selections, good luck if following and please remember to keep stakes small so it doesn’t hurt your pocket, I will now hand you over to Chris for his Ascot selections, before Ray gives his views on his selections and finishing off with Rich’s Last Word.

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Chris Price’s Ascot Selections

Nap: Moonlight Romance – Windsor Castle Stakes – Every Wesley Ward runner at this meeting over the minimum trip has to be feared and I backed this precocious filly at 6/1 to win after stablemate Chang Chang Chang won the Norfolk Stakes on Thursday. Moonlight Romance was a close 2nd behind that one on debut before getting off the mark at Belmont last month. She will likely take a lot of pegging back from the front.
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NB: The Tin Man – Diamond Jubilee Stakes – This years renewal looks a very hot race with Harry Angel heading the betting from the unknown Australian sprinters Redkirk Warrior and Merchant Navy, now with Ballydoyle. However I’m going for last years winner The Tin Man, who should relish the conditions. His recent record on a surface of good or faster reads 111181 with the only blip coming when he wasn’t quite right in the July Cup. At a current price of 8/1 he is a value each-way bet.

 

Ray 

Ayr 3.30 Balestra 4/1 Has won 2 on the spin since joining new yard both over 7f, was a winner over 1m when with C Hills and a return to this distance shouldn’t be a problem, wears cheekpieces for first time here and that is another positive.

Win Bet

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Newmarket 2.45 Max Liebermann 11/2

Game winner last time out at Yarmouth over 1m 3f although only won by a head the first 2 were well clear of the rest, only other win came in a Jumpers Bumper over 2m so the 1m 6f today should be within grasp.

Win Bet

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Newmarket 5.55 Beachwalk 2/1

Has won last 2 races at Lingfield and Yarmouth both over 7f with visor fitted. Is now 8lb higher than first of those wins and wears first time blinkers here and that could help with the hat-trick bid.

Win Bet

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Perth 5.40 Morning with Ivan 11/4

Has won 5 of her last 7 starts, and completed hat-trick with a course and distance victory last month, has gone up another 4lb for that win and wouldn’t be an upset if she goes in again here.

Win Bet

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Rich’s Final Word – 

I am writing this on Wednesday evening and if any of these are Non Runners, you have my apologies in advance. Right let’s get down to business….

In the opening race 2.30 Chesham Stakes, C1 Listed for 2yo Only over 7f and I have taken a shine to the two Australia Fillies’. Godolphin’s Beyond Reason, who was a 2 length runner up on debut on debut over 6f at Newmarket before winning by 4 lengths on the All Weather at Kempton in a C5 Fillies’ Novice Stakes on June 6th, up in trip today… And the other Australia Filly is Aussie View, who finally got off the mark on her 3rd run and 1st try over 7f by landing a C5Fillies’ Novice Stakes at Doncaster on June 17th….

We have seen a warm favourite turned over(Cracksman) will it happen today in the Hardwicke Stakes(3.05) Group 2 over 1m 4f? Crystal Ocean is 2 from 2 so far this season after landing the Gordon Richard(Group 3) at Sandown and the following it up in the AL Rayyan Stakes(Group 3) by 6 lengths last time out, now takes a step up in class but if we dismiss Defoe’s last run at the Curragh, we may just have a cracking finish on our hands as he drops from Group 1 to Group 2… Add Barsanti to the mix, who like Crystal Ocean is an improver after his Listed Stakes win on season return and with 4th in the race winning a Group 3 next time out isn’t to be taken lightly!

Diamond Jubilee Stakes(4.20) 6f Group 1 and I am interested in the All Weather Championships 6f Winner City Lights. The French raider having won on season return and in April at Lingfield, he has notched a Group 3 wins since at Longchamp by 1& 1/2 lengths from Gold Vibe. The reason being is that Harry Angel, is 0-3 at ascot and that does not breed confidence… The Tin Man, Fresh from win on season return, could spring a surprise….

And finally from Royal Ascot 2018, the Wokingham Stakes(5.00), Class 2 over 6f.. and it’s Dreamfield that get’s the nod. 3 from 3 starts, including a season return over C/D in a Class 3 6f Handicap and has improved for each run since…..

Saturday’s Trackers

 

That concludes our Royal Ascot coverage for 2018. We would like to thank Chris Price, for his daily thoughts and we look forward to working with him again very soon. Also a big thank you to all you readers for popping in and giving us your support. Rich will return next week….  Did you spot the Cookies I left all week?? Enjoy the racing & remember, if you cannot afford to bet, just watch!

All the Best – Charlie, Chris & Rich

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