Hello and Welcome to arseonlinetips, we took the day away yesterday to refocus for the weekend and there is certainly a lot of racing to come over the next 3 days, so lets crack on with a blog full to the brim, including a Oaks Preview from Chris Price to add to Charlie’s Selection’s and Rich’s Final Word…… So we will start with Charlie’s Selection’s…
Forever Together -Lightly raced 3yr old Filly bred out of Galileo and Green Room, she was 4th in a maiden at Naas over 1m back in October last year, she was then sent to Leopardstown to contest another maiden over 1m finishing 3rd in October, before being put away for the Winter. She made seasonal return in May in a Class 1 listed race at Chester over 1m 3f and finished 2nd even though her passage wasn’t the clearest, that form suggests she is progressing nicely and the extra distance and forecast soft ground likely to suit, also the talented Donnacha O’Brien takes the mount and is definitely worth a market check.
Ripp Orf – Hasn’t been out of the first two places in 8 starts, including winning at Kempton and Ascot over 6f and 7f respectively, although has finished 2nd in all starts of 1m this year. Acts on forecast soft ground but if it dries out a touch that wouldn’t be a disadvantage here biggest danger could come in the shape of Juanito Chico who has course and distance form having won here over 7f last year.
Albizzia -Lightly raced having only had 3 runs so far including a maiden at Leicester over 1m in April last year finishing 4th, was then put away for a year and making return at Lingfield in April this year and winning over 1m 2f in a Class 5 race. Was then sent to Southwell at the end of April to contest a Class 5 Auction over 1m 3f and finished 3rd. Today’s trip of 1m 3f and 218y should suit and is taken to be in the mix here.
Well that’s my thoughts on today’s selections, good luck if following and please remember to keep stakes small so it doesn’t hurt your pocket. I will now hand you over to Chris for his Oaks preview before Rich Finishes off with the Final Word.
Oaks Review with Chris Price –
With the recent weather not being kind we are faced with the prospect of a rare soft-ground Derby meeting at Epsom, the eye’s of the world will turn to the Surrey venue for one of the most important meetings of the flat season, kicking off with the Oaks at 4.30pm on Friday.
Wild Illusion heads the betting for the fillies classic. She was a creditable fourth in 1000 Guineas four weeks ago, appearing slightly outpaced but running as the leaders quickened. There is plenty of stamina in the dams side and is closely related to Royal Highness, who won the Prix Malleret over this trip. Soft ground should be no bother to this daughter of Dubawi, having been successful at Chantilly last Autumn, finishing clear of Magical over testing conditions. The only negative is that connections have suffered greatly over recent years in the classics, with their last success in the Oaks coming in 2002 with Kazzia.
Aidan O’Brien sends his usual battalion over for this meeting, with five declared. Magic Wand improved on two maiden runs with a comprehensive win in the Cheshire Oaks last time out. She made all and quickened in the shape of a smart horse, benefiting from a more stern stamina test. It remains to be seen if those front-running tactics can pay dividends here, but the small field should help.
Forever Together appears to be a very short price considering she has is yet to win after three starts, however she got no luck in running behind Magic Wand at Chester earlier this month, and there is a every reason to believe she will get much closer on come the big race. Like her stablemate, soft ground should pose no problems, having been on a soft surface at maiden level.
Bye Bye Baby is another potential pace angle, a front running win in the Blue Wind Stakes at the Curragh over ten furlongs. She is more exposed than the other Ballydoyle runners, but arguably brings the best form, having also won at listed level on soft ground as a juvenile last term.
The other Coolmore runners appear to have plenty to find, I Can Fly was well beaten in the 1000 Guineas when last on course. She had previously been third in the 1000 Guineas Trial at Leopardstown, but the two in front of her cut little ice last weekend in the Irish 1000 Guineas. This trip should suit this daughter of Fastnet Rock better, but its difficult to recommend her. Flattering was a rare Aidan O’Brien first time out winner this spring, but was beaten into third in the Oaks Trial at Lingfield, she needs plenty more to trouble the principles.
Perfect Clarity won that Lingfield trial, showing an impressive turn of foot and running on through the line. It was just her second start and there should be plenty more to come from Clive Cox’s charge. Being a daughter of Nathaniel, soft ground should not inconvenience her too greatly, and it would be no surprise to see her in the frame.
Give And Take has not been out of the first two in all five starts to date, she booked her ticket to Epsom when winning the Musidora at the Dante meeting. Quite what that form is worth is open to debate and would need plenty more to feature here. Unproven on soft, but she has won on good to soft at Lingfield last season.
The final runner is Ejtyah, this Frankel filly won on debut at Chelmsford over the winter, before a creditable third behind Give And Take at York, conceding race fitness. You would expect her to give that one much more to think about here, but she still has a great deal to find with some of those at the head of the market.
Summary: Magic Wand was impressive at Chester, there should be more to come by from daughter of Galileo and can add to that win here. The main danger is the favourite, Wild Illusion, who should relish conditions and this stamina test. At a slightly bigger price, Bye Bye Baby can make the frame.
Thanks Chris and their will be more from Chris tomorrow, with his Epsom Derby Review…. Now on to Rich’s Final Word…
Cheers Guys…. Let’s see what we have today!
Rich’s Final Word –
I will get this underway by saying thanks to Chris for his contribution today and we look forward to posting his Derby review along with both myself and Charlie’s Each way Selection’s….
Now back to day and Epsom and the opening race at 2.00, Woodcote Stakes – Class 2 – 2YO Only – 6f 3y.… I like the look of Usian Boat. A debut runner up spot in a 5f Novice Stakes at Yarmouth on May 1st was quickly followed by a Class 4 Novice Stakes win, when stepped up to 6f at Newmarket to land the prize by a neck and the form has been boosted with the 3rd winning. It’s a step up in class for George Scott’s Casamento Colt and Frankie Dettori is on board.
The Coronation Stakes(3.10) is all about Frankel colt Cracksman, who has now won 4 on the bounce after landing the Ganay Stakes at Longchamp on his seasonal return by 4 lengths under a hands and heels ride from Frankie Dettori. Looking at the minor places, Hawkbill is 2 from 2 this season after landing a Group 2 & 1 in Meydan in March and won the Prince of Wales Stakes at Newmarket last July and is likely to follow Cracksman home!
Ajman King(3.45) will be looking to makes it 4 wins from 5 runs today, having won on seasonal return over C/D by 1 length in a class 2 handicap on April 25th. Making it 2 from 2 over C/D and the 5th in that race has since won a class 2 handicap….
Away from Epsom Down’s, I found one at Doncaster. Come On Come On(8.05) Won on season return at Kempton(AW) in March over 1m before stepping up to 1m 2f at Windsor last time out. Beaten a neck by Nayel, who along with 3rd place Hollywood Road, have both since won…..
That is everything for today folks, thank you for popping by and we hope you have a cracking day and enjoy the racing….
All the Best – Charlie, Rich & Chris